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A look ahead: The Stars

Avery says he watched the Stars battle the Red Wings in the Western Conference finals and felt like they were one piece away from getting past Detroit. You can guess who Avery thought that piece might be.

"If you throw me in the lineup in that series, it's definitely going to make the difference," he says.
I don't know about that, but I do think the Stars will be a team to watch this season in the Western Conference.

To this point in his career, Avery has received far more pub than his output has merited, something that stems from just how much he stands out among hockey's pretty bland bunch. Being controversial these days is reason enough for copy to be spent, and Avery — along with Ray Emery — is as close as the NHL comes.

Avery's 28 years old, but prior to his latest 104-game stretch with the Rangers (including playoffs), he had only had 42 goals and 114 points in 293 games, the equivalent of three and a half full seasons.

In New York, he scored at a 22-goal, 51-point pace, but his $15.5-million, four-year contract calls for more than that going forward. Dallas is paying for potential, as much as any team does these days with its youngsters, and I don't think that's such a bad bet.

Avery played under 16 minutes a game last season with the Rangers, with very little time on special teams, and that'll change this time around. The Stars have done a decent job adding top-end pieces after being a team short on scoring depth for so long, but they will still lean heavily on their top six forwards: Brendan Morrow, Brad Richards, Jere Lehtinen, Mike Ribeiro, Mike Modano and Avery.

So he's a factor — but hardly the only one. More than anything, what should propel Dallas forward will be some better luck in the health department, as Sergei Zubov, Lehtinen and Philippe Boucher all missed 30-plus games last season. All will be integral when it comes to taking on difficult opposition, especially with some green players like Fabian Brunnstrom coming into the fold.

Toss in a full season for Richards, who should be re-energized after a lost campaign, and they'll be tough to beat in the Pacific Division.
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Anonymous - I'll take that bet unless Ribiero is injured during a large part of 08-09. He's a different player alongside Morrow than he was in Montreal and I expect him to be even better than he was last season.

by Alex in AZ on Aug 13, 2008 12:57 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

@ Nick

Penalties:
Morrow Drawn 55 - Committed 40
Avery Drawn 46 - Committed 38

So their penalty +/- is actually a +23 combined. As long as they put us on the PP 23 more times than they put us on the PK, they'll be fine. Factor in Steve Ott:

Ott Drawn 56 - Committed 43

And you have a formidable trio who can run on different lines and cause other team's top players to get off their game and take stupid penalties. They're effective at what they do. Especially when of their combined 121 Penalties taken, 24 of those were fights. That doesn't even take into account those b/s roughing calls that go to players on both teams during scraps.

I don't see a down side when it comes to their penalties especially given the fact that the Dallas PK was 2nd in the league last season (barely) behind San Jose.

by Hike Meika on Aug 13, 2008 1:26 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Jerrod, where did you find the penalties drawn stats? I'd like to see that breakdown for some other players in the league. Tomas Holmstrom, for example.

by Anonymous on Aug 14, 2008 10:38 AM CDT reply actions   0 recs

Anonymous:

I found the information on this spreadsheet:

http://spreadsheets.google.com/ccc?key=pc9iV9RP9nEfEeHfjd76yKw&hl=en

I am assuming it is correct because it does look to be, but I can't be 100% sure since I didn't make it myself.

I then went to Hockeyfights.com to figure out how many fights the three of the guys had to show what the penalties were for.

Btw, looks like Holmstrom drew 30 and took 29....so not very effective in that facet of his game, heh. However, Datsyuk (3rd) and Zetterberg (12th) are a combined +61.

by Hike Meika on Aug 14, 2008 12:50 PM CDT reply actions   0 recs

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