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It's Canada versus Sweden for gold

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I feel for all of the American hockey fans out there who generally don't have the access to the world junior tournament that we do in Canada, because it really is some of the best hockey of the year. And it always comes right around the NHL's midseason, when the league's bloated 1,230-game schedule starts catching up with an awful lot of players and the quality of play diminishes.

Saturday night's 6-5 shootout win by the Canadians over Russia was a great example. Canada held four separate leads — 1-0, 2-1, 3-2 and 4-3 — before Russia finally strung two goals together and was up 5-4 in the dying seconds of the game. A miss on a long-range attempt at an empty netter gave Canada one last chance with about 40 seconds left, and they managed to keep the puck in off the faceoff and allow Oilers prospect Jordan Eberle to whack in a goal with 5.4 seconds to spare.

Heady stuff.

After 10 minutes of overtime, the game unfortunately went to a coin flip contest — although having John Tavares doing some of the flipping turns the odds slightly in one's favour, I suppose. Canada scored twice, goaltender Dustin Tokarski stopped two shots and now they're up against Sweden on Monday night.

If you can, make sure you catch that one.

Canada honestly hasn't been all that great in the tournament, but there are only four decent teams this year and one — the Americans — was bumped out by Slovakia the other night. Sweden, however, will be a real test, especially for a team that's struggled in goal and on defence and that could be looking at a couple major lineup tweaks for the finals.

Putting Chet Pickard in goal, for one, isn't out of the question despite the fact he's had to make 23 saves all tournament.

John Tavares and Cody Hodgson were relatively quiet in the semi-final game, and given they have provided a ton of the team's scoring — 14 and 13 points, double almost every other player — getting them going will be key. Sweden is going to stick big man Victor Hedman out there in all key situations, and that'll be the matchup I'm sure we'll all be sick to death of hearing about come Monday night.

It's a battle between the two top players in the 2009 entry draft, and they're sure to go head to head.

Another player who could step up, given he played in the NHL this season, is Alex Pietrangelo. Canadian captain Thomas Hickey has really struggled on the back end and is likely to see more of the bench in the final.

Like Canada, Sweden's undefeated, but their tournament's been more impressive. Big lanky netminder Jacob Markstrom, an 18-year-old Panthers draft pick (31st overall last June), has allowed half as many goals as Tokarski and has a .954 save percentage to boot.

Sweden also made short work of Russia in the round robin, easily winning 5-0 and playing a very disciplined game. They've taken just 42 PIM all tournament, second to only Finland and 14 fewer than Canada (who had one misconduct).

Sweden's leading scorer so far is Mikael Backlund with five goals, while defenceman Erik Karlsson leads the way with nine points. Both are already drafted (Backlund by Calgary, Karlsson by Ottawa), unlike 11 of their teammates who are eligible this June.

In other words, expect a lot of scouts to be in attendance on Monday night.

This is the strongest Swedish draft class I can ever remember, with Hedman to go in the top two, Magnus Svensson-Paajarvi ranked in the top 10, and David Rundblad and Jacob Josefson in the top 20.

Then there's captain Oscar Moller, who turns 20 in about two weeks and had 13 points in 30 games with Los Angeles in the NHL prior to this tournament. He and Matt Tedenby, a Devils' first rounder, could both break out in the final after scoring only once apiece so far.

They're a dangerous team, and it should be a great final. Sweden won silver last year after losing to Canada in the final, and that was their first medal in the tourney in 12 years.

Sweden last won gold in 1981, 28 years ago, and long before any of the current crop of players were born. This would be a big deal for them to win.

And it'll be a big deal if Canada loses, of course.

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Canada golden again

Jan 2009 by James Mirtle - 13 comments

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In other words, expect a lot of scouts to be in attendance on Monday night.

They’re already here i herds. I don’t know why scouts have to dress up for games. It makes them stand out like sore thumbs – they are the only fans who are over dressed for the game. So of course it makes them targets for chatty fans like me. They are usually pretty friendly. But none will give out their top five list.

The game was was unbelievable to be at. Happy birthday Ryan Ellis!! Nothing like starting your own party with an assist on the tying goal.

by hockeycountry on Jan 4, 2009 6:44 AM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Pickard

Should get a chance. Sure he’s only faced 23 shots so far all tournament, but big games is where he steps up his game to an unbelievable level. Even if the defence is struggling, Tokarski has not picked up their slack very effectively. A few highlight reel saves, sure. But he needs to shut his 5-hole.

by "Dave Schultz" on Jan 4, 2009 9:52 AM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Leclaire

Tokarski reminds me of Pascal Leclaire the year the Russians beat Canada 5-4 after Canada led 3-1. I would rather see Pickard in net than seeing Tokarski get another shot at throwing away Canada’s Gold medal.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Jan 4, 2009 11:47 AM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I like your thinking

But best I can tell you and I are the only ones that feel that way, based on emails and comments I’ve received today.

by "Dave Schultz" on Jan 4, 2009 4:23 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Then we’re the only ones watching the games. It’s Tokarski tonight so I hope to hell that I am wrong because Sweden has looked very very good.

Pension Plan Puppets: A Toronto Maple Leafs blog and a group therapy session.

by PPP on Jan 5, 2009 9:00 AM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I was leery myself, not only of the goalie but the whole D. The two decent opponents you play you give up four and five goals, respectively? That’s not going to work.

Fortunately, the Memorial Cup version of Tokarski showed up last night.

by Doogie2K on Jan 6, 2009 12:00 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

There’s something about Canadians and Russians playing games that end 6-5, huh? This game would have deserved a continuous OT.

Then there’s captain Oscar Moller, who turns 20 in about two weeks and had 13 points in 30 games with Los Angeles in the NHL prior to this tournament. He and Matt Tedenby, a Devils’ first rounder, could both break out in the final after scoring only once apiece so far.

That’s an unfair comparison for Tedenby. Moller plays a lot, on the first line with Backlund, on the first PP unit, only has four points and his only goal is an empty netter. Tedenby, meanwhile, has spent a lot of time on the Swedish third line, has one more point than Moller and probably could have traded two of those assists for goals if not for unselfish play. Not to mention that Sweden’s first line has had some defensive problems and a few of Backlund’s goals have been solo efforts. Moller has been a disappointment, Tedenby hasn’t.

I believe we’ll see the toughest game Canada has had to play since their goal medal streak started. This is the closest opponent in years in terms of sheer roster quality. And Sweden’s defensive play, especially by the d-men themselves, has been outstanding. Canada will have to get better in that department as well as in goal to match the Swedes. Remember, this is a team that blanked the Russians. On offense, I suppose Canada has the upper hand but they’ll have to improve elsewhere for it to make the difference.

by Malurous on Jan 4, 2009 12:06 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Tedenby has looked really good. I’m surprised because his numbers in the SEL aren’t anything to crow about.

Looks like another good pick for the Devils, actually.

by James Mirtle on Jan 4, 2009 1:47 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I’m surprised because his numbers in the SEL aren’t anything to crow about.

That’s hardly unique. Sometimes, more so in the past, some of the better players in these tournaments haven’t been able to make their mark on European Elite League teams at that age. I don’t know the specifics about Tedenby, but even though he’s played a combined 40 SEL games this year and last, it’s possible he’s been on fourth line duty or sitting in the dreaded extra forward spot. You won’t get a stat line playing two minutes a game if that’s the case.

Also, these games are a lot easier in some ways and harder in other ways compared to those Elite League games. So, to some extent, different player types (or, as it’s kids we’re talking about, players who are ready in different aspects of their game) excel in each, and still both types could be similarly solid NHL prospects.

by Malurous on Jan 4, 2009 3:47 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   1 recs

Well, let’s not forget, last year’s final needed OT, with Sweden tying in the last minute, after the same Swedish team handed Canada their first loss in four years, and first round-robin loss in even longer. This should be closer than the pre-tournament game that ended 4-2 CAN.

by Doogie2K on Jan 4, 2009 10:48 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Quite frankly

This is the worst Canadian squad in a long time, and they’re still in the Final, which is impressive. Even if it took pure luck to force the tie and bring it to the coin flip contest.

The goaltending and the top defensive pairing go hand in hand. This team lacks both. Plus, they only have about 4 top offensive players and a bunch of decent players that work hard up front, which isn’t a huge advantage over the other top countries.

Should be a close game tomorrow. It’ll be interesting to see who lays the bigger cheapshot… Della Rovere or Törp.

Hockey blogging can't get any flatter.

by saskhab on Jan 4, 2009 12:49 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

I agree completely

I think Canada goes into this game as underdogs, to be honest; even if Pickard gets the start. The D looks big and slow against the talented teams that we have played so far. As much as McGuire crows about Canada’s skill, in this tournament I think that we have slid back a bit in that department. Or maybe it just seems that way because Della Rovere gets so much damned ice time.

I was at the Sweden-Russia game and it was pure dominance. I know that Russia always plays Canada tough in Canada, but putting those two facts together leaves me very apprehensive for tomorrow night.

by smyttysmullet on Jan 4, 2009 2:00 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Hickey has been terrible, Moller only has a few points despite ample playing time, Teubert has been ineffective, Voinov got hurt… not a very good tournament for the Kings.

The West Coast is the Best Coast.

by RudyKelly on Jan 4, 2009 2:21 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

just when you think the Canada/USA game was as good as it gets, the Canada/Russia game was even better. better than most of the NHL games last night.

by odessasteps on Jan 4, 2009 4:04 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

What? Better than Sharks-Islanders?

:-)

by James Mirtle on Jan 4, 2009 4:15 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

It was a great game. Shame the ending had to be ruined by a shootout. No medal round game in any hockey tournament should ever go to this.

by Resolute on Jan 4, 2009 6:21 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs

The Russia-Canada game was an excellent show, the only thing that could have made it better was to play it outdoors.

Some random comments:

The Germans were relegated.

The US had to struggle for fifth.

The Russians were more physical than I remember past WJC Russian entries.

Perspective is everything . On Canada’s last goal, the Russian goalie had no sight of the puck as it went under his d-man, and locked himslef down until he got a visual lead. Eberle was on the other side of the d-man, and saw the puck’s movement, the one step lead he got moving across the crease proved to be huge.

The shootout was anticlimatic, “soccer-like” finish. God help us if the NHL takes away Stanley Cup overtime in favor of a shootout. If that happens I may be posting from the institute for the criminally insane.

by cubanpuckstopper on Jan 5, 2009 9:17 AM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

eating crow

I am glad I was wrong about Tokarski. :)

Still, the Canadian team did him a ton of favours by limiting actual chances (although clearly not shots).

by smyttysmullet on Jan 5, 2009 10:44 PM CST reply reply actions actions   0 recs

Yeah, for the first time against a good team all tourney. And even then there were a couple of doozies.

by Doogie2K on Jan 6, 2009 12:01 PM CST to parent up reply reply actions actions   0 recs


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