goaltending Stories - SB Nation
Shootouts: Goaltender True Talent
As an add-on to my previous piece in shooter talent, I wanted to apply the same methodology to goaltender performance on shootouts. First, let's see if performance in 2005-06 predicted future pe...
The Leafs' PK: Does it suck this much?
I won't keep you in suspense. Yes, it does. Toronto actually spends a below-average amount of time at 4-on-5, but that's primarily because they give up so many goals that their penalty-kil...
Vesa Toskala: Does he really suck this much?
Vesa Toskala is a mystery to me. He's generally seen as a terrible goalie. But at even-strength, he's performed like a league-average goalie. If you believe in shot quality, he's fac...
Even-Strength Goaltender Shot Quality since the Lockout
Shot Quality is an idea that's been around for quite a while - Alan Ryder's original study is available here (PDF). I found a little bit more data than Alan had originally, so I''ve written abou...
New Puck Prospectus piece: A basic goaltending model
I wanted to start from the basics on goaltending and estimate how many wins a goaltender can be worth to his team. I looked at 5-on-5 and 4-on-5 save percentage only (no shot "quality" adjustmen...
2007-08 5v5 Goaltender Performance (Full Season)
I finally ran the full-season's worth of shot quality/goaltending statistics (see Mid-Season stats.) There was some discussion over at James Mirtle's site, with some people claiming that Evgeni Naboko...
2007-08 4v5 Goaltender Performance
Scoring rates go way up on the power-play, making it a goaltender's toughest assignment. (Ray Emery fighting Andrew Peters doesn't count.) To quantify the difference, here's the same plot as we had fo...
2007-08 5v5 Goaltender Performance
I've put together a simple first-order system to analyze goaltender performance. First, I calculated the probability of scoring from 2x2-foot quadrants using data from 2001 through last week's games: ...
2008-09 5v5 Goaltender Performance
Last year, I posted my methodology for calculating the quality of shots faced by a goaltender, along with the results of this analysis. The 2008-09 results are below (minimum 700 minutes played at 5v5...
Shooting Percentage by Location of Directed Shot
Here's the save percentage by right- and left-handed goalies during the 2008-09 season:I'll admit that I'm not completely sure what's interesting about this data - I have it for every goaltender and e...
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